Battleground State Update — 5 days to go…
Battleground State Update – 5 days to go…
Florida (27) — Race appears to be stabilizing at Obama +4. Prediction: Obama
Ohio (20) — Just like Florida. Prediction: Obama
North Carolina (15) — Rasmussen just released Obama +2. Moving toward McCain. Prediction: McCain
Missouri(11) –McCain now slightly ahead. Prediction: McCain
Nevada (5) — Like Florida and Ohio. Prediction: Obama
Indiana (11) — McCain now slightly ahead. Prediction: McCain
West Virginia (5) — This one’s over. Prediction: McCain
North Dakota (3) — Surprisingly close. Prediction: McCain
Virginia (13) — McCain is closing strong. Three of the last four polls show McCain within 4. Prediction: Obama
Colorado (9) — McCain just can’t seem to get any traction here. Prediction: Obama
New Mexico (5) – Same as Colorado. Prediction: Obama
These predictions make it Obama 338 McCain 200. However, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, and Virginia are all within 4 points. These states account for 65 EVs. If the polls are off just 4 points, then it becomes Obama 273 McCain 265. This leaves McCain only one of the other battlegrounds (Colorado, New Mexico, or, maybe, Pennsylvania) away from winning. If things trend 2 or 3 more points towards McCain before next Tuesday, he will win. However, if the polls are right, its over.