Is this a sign of things to come during an Obama administration? This morning, reporters from three newspapers who have been flying on the Obama campaign plane for quite some time, are not being allowed to fly this weekend. The reason given: limited space for the media. I am sure it didn’t have anything to do [...]
Battleground State Update – 5 days to go…
Florida (27) — Race appears to be stabilizing at Obama +4. Prediction: Obama
Ohio (20) — Just like Florida. Prediction: Obama
North Carolina (15) — Rasmussen just released Obama +2. Moving toward McCain. Prediction: McCain
Missouri(11) –McCain now slightly ahead. Prediction: McCain
Nevada (5) — Like Florida and Ohio. Prediction: Obama
Indiana (11) — McCain [...]
Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com wrote an article today about turnout in Oregon. If you don’t know him Nate is excellent at statistics, but he is an unabashed Obama supporter. Usually, he doesn’t let his political leanings get in the way of his statistical analysis, but this time, he has missed it.
From Nate’s blog:
Uniquely among the 50 [...]
Battleground State Update — 7 days to go…
Florida (27) — New polls suggest its still moving towards Obama. Prediction: Obama
Ohio (20) — Moving towards Obama. Prediction: Obama
North Carolina (15) – Prediction: McCain
Missouri(11) –Dead Heat. Prediction: McCain
Nevada (5) – Slight Obama lead, but I think that this is a major “Bradley Effect” state. Prediction: McCain
Indiana (11) — Prediction: McCain
West [...]
I am going to try to update my take on the 11 battlegound states every day between now and the election. I apologize for the “cheap” posts, but there is just not much else to blog about right now.
Florida (27) — Dead heat, moving towards Obama.
Ohio (20) — Dead heat, moving strongly towards Obama. McCain needs [...]
Let’s take a quick look at the trends in the battleground states:
Florida (27) — Dead heat, moving towards McCain, with the last three polls released (Rasmussen, Mason-Dixon, and Survey USA) all showing McCain +1 or +2.
Ohio (20) — Dead heat, moving towards McCain, with Rasmussen releasing a McCain +2 and Mason-Dixon releasing a McCain +1 last week.
North Carolina (15) [...]